Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales traded $53K on this market since Oct 1, 67% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Impressive-Steak
426 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 57¢ $15K —
Obvious-Lanai-Analog
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 84¢ $7.0K —
0xf705…3ca7
156 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 86¢ $4.6K $2.3K
Frequent-Cornmeal
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 92¢ $4.8K —
Apprehensive-Breakdown
112 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 64¢ $3.8K —
Runny-Paddock-Pregnancy
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 40¢ $2.9K —
Impish-Revenge
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 47¢ $1.2K $1.7K
Taut-Ease-Bloodflow
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 60¢ $2.8K —
Fitting-Tarragon
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.1K
0x3250…108d
no settled record
Yes @ 57¢ $2.0K —
0x1d4a…46f5
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 15¢ $1.9K —
Close-Breastplate
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 54¢ $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $31K
    67% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $2.3K sold
  2. No
    $16K
    33% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $3.8K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1 to Oct 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792134019).

About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed