Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

19 whales put $130K into this market since Aug 20, 85% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

19 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Apprehensive-Breakdown
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 68¢ $41K —
Hideous-Leg
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 78¢ $22K —
Taut-Ease-Bloodflow
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 63¢ $12K —
0xd4f9…f619
no settled record
sold only $0 $11K
Murky-Toll
10 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 89¢ $10K —
Forthright-Kingfish
12 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.9K
0x3c5d…7be1
no settled record
No @ 66¢ $4.1K —
0x058f…4883
no settled record
sold only $0 $3.5K
Accurate-Faith
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.3K
0xdd10…416f
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.9K
0xea92…f8b6
no settled record
No @ 76¢ $1.2K $1.7K
0x6131…fd16
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.0K
Pastel-Method
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K
0x66d7…5b7b
no settled record
Yes @ 42¢ $1.7K —
0xf705…3ca7
148 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K
0x5818…a528
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.4K
Sparse-Recollection
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 13¢ $1.4K —
Flaky-Lift
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 75¢ $1.3K —
0x2a92…dc69
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $80K
    85% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $26K sold
  2. Yes
    $15K
    15% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $9.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 8, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed