Silver-Accordion

0x66ad4221d66358ab9867f6d8cae73ede08e5cc4e

Skill vs luck

Silver-Accordion on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 83% (95% range 44%–97%) · profit +$469. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Silver-Accordion: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x66ad4221d66358ab9867f6d8cae73ede08e5cc4e. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Silver-Accordion: +$469 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 44%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

+$469

return +3.0%

Settled bets

$15K staked

Won

83.3%

95% range 44%–97%

Mostly bets on

crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Sep 3 – Sep 17: +$600
Oct 16 – Oct 30: −$131

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +3.5% (2,471 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Oct 30	BUY No @ 95¢ Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? ↗	$3.1K
Oct 29	BUY Yes @ 95¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	$2.9K
Oct 29	SELL Yes @ 60¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	$1.2K
Oct 28	BUY Yes @ 88¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	$1.8K
Oct 27	BUY Yes @ 75¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 28?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 28?	$1.5K
Oct 26	BUY Yes @ 98¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	$2.3K
Oct 24	BUY No @ 92¢ Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	$1.2K
Oct 23	BUY Yes @ 98¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	$1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793343609, computed 2026-10-30 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1793343609 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed