Overlooked-Guilty
0x4ba4466ba485e8c18948a0a80ce4c9db05718a89
Overlooked-Guilty: +$272 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$272
return +26.6%
Settled bets
1
$1.0K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 21%–100%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$272
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | $4.8K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 79¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.0K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.