Frozen-Stimulation

0xc1be0f0a63489ba29c008ae52f2d55f3f47bd6a2

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Frozen-Stimulation: −$2.6K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.6K
return −56.2%
Settled bets
6
$4.6K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$500
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$3.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5 $1.5K
Oct 3 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03?
Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03? $1.0K
Oct 1 BUY Over @ 79¢
Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 1.5
Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 1.5 $2.1K
Sep 28 BUY Under @ 88¢
Belgium vs. France: O/U 2.5
Belgium vs. France: O/U 2.5 $1.0K
Sep 28 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Armenia vs. Montenegro: O/U 5.5
Armenia vs. Montenegro: O/U 5.5 $2.2K
Sep 20 BUY Yes @ 75¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? $1.5K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed