Stormy-Wage
Skill vs luck
Stormy-Wage on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 14% (95% range 3%–51%) · profit +$996. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 21, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Stormy-Wage: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 21, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x262d40622895dc4f26d8e8f75b278b5c43788efe. Data CC BY 4.0.
Stormy-Wage: +$996 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 14% (95% range 3%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.0K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2
- Oct 5 – Oct 21
- −$3
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | SELL 76ers @ 99.9¢ | 76ers vs. Knicks ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 20 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | Chiefs vs. Raiders ↗ | $1.0K |
| Sep 30 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-30? |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-30? | $1.0K |
| Aug 27 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Aug 22 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22? |
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22? | $1.0K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?