Strident-Subtitle
Skill vs luck
Strident-Subtitle on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 56% (95% range 27%–81%) · profit +$1.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 21, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Strident-Subtitle: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 21, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x45a29b1d5ff8a4dbbf5e85b13ddafeaa30a111bd. Data CC BY 4.0.
Strident-Subtitle: +$1.6K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 27%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$522
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$676
- Oct 5 – Oct 21
- +$408
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | SELL Yes @ 98¢ | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 20 | SELL Yes
@ 89¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20? | $1.4K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Yes
@ 79¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20? | $1.2K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes @ 80¢ | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 15 | SELL Yes
@ 99.06¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-15? |
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-15? | $1.5K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Yes @ 98¢ | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Sep 7 | BUY Yes @ 60¢ | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? ↗ | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?