Polymarket market · Sports
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)
Resolved: Manchester City FC won · See it on Polymarket ↗
8 whales traded $79K on this market since Oct 20, 61% of their buying on Manchester City FC. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 94% of the size there to buy. Manchester City FC won, with 61% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$54K and 5 lost −$24K: +$30K between them. Biggest win: Substantial-Service, +$50K on Manchester City FC. Biggest loss: Wordy-Littleneck, −$8.0K on AEK.
The whales on this market
8 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
899 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Manchester City FC @ 43¢ | $38K | — | +$50K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,558 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
AEK @ 46¢ | $19K | — | −$6.4K |
| Wordy-Littleneck
340 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
AEK @ 57¢ | $8.0K | — | −$8.0K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,375 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
AEK @ 44¢ | $3.9K | — | −$3.9K |
| Bulky-Questioner
6 settled bets Too few bets |
AEK @ 47¢ | $3.5K | — | −$3.5K |
| Quarrelsome-Cloak
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Manchester City FC @ 52¢ | $2.6K | — | +$2.4K |
| First-Sousaphone
76 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
AEK @ 54¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Miserable-Poison
1,206 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Manchester City FC @ 43¢ | $1.3K | — | +$1.7K |
Where the whale money went
-
Manchester City FC won$48K61% of whale buying · 4 buyers
-
AEK lost$25K32% of whale buying · 5 buyers
-
Manchester City FC lost$5.7K7% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792566006).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | $120K | 19 | Won: Yes | |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20? | $285K | 6 | Won: No | |
| Lyon Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Kyrian Jacquet | $85K | 8 | Won: Kyrian Jacquet | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 | $59K | 4 | Won: Over | |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? | $107K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | $64K | 11 | Won: Over | |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? | $195K | 15 | Won: Yes | |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | $78K | 5 | Won: Over |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?