Polymarket market · Other

Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

19 whales traded $69K on this market since Oct 11, 56% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 4.1¢ more per share, with 96% of the size there to buy. No won, with 56% of the whale buying on it. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$10K and 9 lost −$17K: −$6.5K between them. Biggest win: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, +$3.8K on No. Biggest loss: Miserable-Poison, −$4.1K on Yes.

The whales on this market

19 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Brave-Numismatist
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $19K —
Willing-Proposition
80 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 87¢ $6.5K $5.9K +$45
Miserable-Poison
1,090 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 48¢ $7.1K — −$4.1K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,825 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 73¢ $6.8K — +$2.6K
Mortified-Miracle-Wax
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 79¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,684 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 20¢ $2.3K — +$3.8K
Imaginary-Gallery
265 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 73¢ $2.3K — +$852
Cluttered-Snob
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 51¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Frequent-Charm-Reboot
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 51¢ $1.9K — +$1.8K
Unfinished-Reason
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 51¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Practical-Marriage
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 79¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
0x4c51…1fc1
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Vague-Sycamore
12 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Amusing-Erosion-Vise
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 80¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Monstrous-Dew
387 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 45¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Noted-Authentication
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 54¢ $1.3K — +$1.1K
Several-Memo
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $1.1K — +$11
Rusty-Eagle
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 47¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
Gifted-Language-Morbid
13 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 43¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $23K
    56% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $26K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $19K
    44% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $1.4K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791874803).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed