Brave-Numismatist

0xedce4d07992e84383df0add4886ca0ce453471ef

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Brave-Numismatist: −$17K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$17K
return −100.1%
Settled bets
2
$17K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 25 – Oct 13
−$17K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6% (2,332 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY Over @ 46¢
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 $5.5K
Oct 11 BUY Over @ 46¢
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 $11K
Oct 11 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11?
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11? $19K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed