Sudden-Snowstorm
0xd25b8718f61fb64a754356ad8cf16b5579f59f3d
Sudden-Snowstorm: −$3.4K on 41 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 93% (95% range 81%–98%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$3.4K
return −2.6%
Settled bets
41
$131K staked
Won
92.7%
95% range 81%–98%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 40 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$141
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$2.0K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | $1.6K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? |
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? | $3.2K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7? |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7? | $1.2K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 99.82¢
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? |
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | $5.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 99.8¢
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? |
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | $2.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 6? |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 6? | $5.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 6? |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 6? | $5.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 6? |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 6? | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.