Polymarket market · Other
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
8 whales traded $52K on this market since Oct 19, 57% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 87 seconds later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 43% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$23K and 3 lost −$28K: −$5.2K between them. Biggest win: Realistic-Chive-Tenet, +$23K on No. Biggest loss: Gleeful-Cauliflower, −$21K on Yes.
The whales on this market
8 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,477 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 54¢ | $21K | — | −$21K |
| Realistic-Chive-Tenet
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 44¢ | $18K | — | +$23K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,297 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 54¢ | $3.8K | — | −$3.8K |
| Scary-Edible
1,503 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 56¢ | $2.8K | — | −$2.8K |
| Elegant-Plugin
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.9¢ | $2.0K | — | +$2 |
| 0x3801…7013
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Flickering-Portfolio-Will
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Bruised-Dragonfruit
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 97¢ | $1.3K | — | +$35 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes lost$28K57% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.6K sold
-
No won$21K43% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.8K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 19, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792479640).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $86K | 30 | Open | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $59K | 18 | Open | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $68K | 15 | Open | |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19? | $72K | 6 | Won: No | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | $52K | 14 | Open | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | $69K | 14 | Open | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $79K | 21 | Open | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | $507K | 55 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?