Gleaming-Orient
0x5eec1b59273669498cd2cbdda7947a46087ef4e2
Gleaming-Orient: −$15 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$15
return −0.1%
Settled bets
6
$14K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$111
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$126
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7 | SELL No
@ 95¢
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? |
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | $1.8K |
| Sep 4 | SELL No
@ 99¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | $3.0K |
| Sep 4 | SELL Yes
@ 91¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | $4.5K |
| Sep 4 | SELL No
@ 95¢
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | $5.7K |
| Sep 4 | SELL No
@ 53¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | $1.1K |
| Sep 4 | SELL No
@ 91¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | $11K |
| Sep 3 | BUY No
@ 95¢
New pandemic in 2026? |
New pandemic in 2026? | $1.9K |
| Sep 3 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.