Ample-Camp

0x73192b9597c4496f8c338b36239bdf4218ac0299

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Ample-Camp: −$1.0K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.0K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
1
$1.0K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–79%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 16¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? $1.1K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 12¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? $1.1K
Sep 30 BUY Yes @ 22¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? $1.7K
Sep 29 SELL Yes @ 12¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? $1.4K
Sep 9 BUY Yes @ 24¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? $1.0K
Sep 9 SELL No @ 66¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? $1.5K
Sep 8 BUY Yes @ 49¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? $1.3K
Sep 4 BUY Yes @ 18¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? $3.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed