Flawed-Molecule

0xa53e8fc4c2f9910e584de69d8b40a502a638218d

No settled bets on record yet: none of this wallet's $1,000+ bets since Aug 20 have resolved. Its record appears after the next daily update once they do.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 27 BUY No @ 94¢
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? $3.0K
Sep 23 BUY Yes @ 15¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? $2.3K
Sep 23 BUY Yes @ 14¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? $1.5K
Aug 20 BUY Yes @ 18¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? $1.8K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed