Cooperative-Nestmate

0x4956f69ada024c5cb23ed4f38f0dc4c04d2ee2c7

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$70K
return +27.4%
Settled bets
40
$254K staked
Won
55.0%
95% range 40%–69%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 40 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$87K Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$15K Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$2.3K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 Bought No at 56¢
Will RNK Veres Rivne win on 2026-09-12?
Will RNK Veres Rivne win on 2026-09-12? $2.3K
Sep 19 Bought Pakhtakor at 59¢
Spread: Pakhtakor (-1.5)
Spread: Pakhtakor (-1.5) $1.8K
Sep 17 Bought Navbahor at 48¢
Spread: Navbahor (-1.5)
Spread: Navbahor (-1.5) $5.8K
Sep 16 Bought No at 58¢
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-09-16?
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-09-16? $4.5K
Sep 12 Bought Yes at 63¢
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-12?
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-12? $13K
Sep 11 Bought CA Boca Juniors at 38¢
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5) $1.1K
Sep 5 Bought Yes at 57¢
Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-05?
Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-05? $2.4K
Sep 5 Bought Yes at 54¢
Will Paksi FC win on 2026-09-05?
Will Paksi FC win on 2026-09-05? $5.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed