Simple-Responsibility

0x2829e9837df168bd817a9539b6f22f20be2e12a0

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Simple-Responsibility: +$225 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$225
return +2.4%
Settled bets
4
$9.6K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$225
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 27 BUY Vitality @ 84¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B $1.8K
Aug 27 BUY Vitality @ 84¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B $1.2K
Aug 25 BUY No @ 57¢
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-25?
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-25? $2.6K
Aug 22 BUY No @ 40¢
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-22?
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-22? $2.1K
Aug 22 BUY No @ 47¢
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-22?
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-22? $1.9K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed