Shrill-Aunt

0x20d6436849f930584892730c7f96ebb2ac763856

Polymarket

Beat the odds* Check it on Polymarket ↗

Shrill-Aunt: +$22K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 69% (95% range 42%–87%). Skill or luck: beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone).

Profit
+$22K
return +38.7%
Settled bets
13
$56K staked
Won
69.2%
95% range 42%–87%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$6.0K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$16K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY San Jose State @ 42¢
San Jose State vs. Hawai'i
San Jose State vs. Hawai'i $5.0K
Oct 4 BUY Arizona @ 47¢
Spread: Arizona (-7.5)
Spread: Arizona (-7.5) $3.4K
Oct 4 BUY San Jose State @ 42¢
San Jose State vs. Hawai'i
San Jose State vs. Hawai'i $4.6K
Oct 3 BUY Mississippi State @ 22¢
Alabama vs. Mississippi State
Alabama vs. Mississippi State $2.3K
Sep 29 BUY Bears @ 56¢
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)
Spread: Eagles (-4.5) $3.0K
Sep 28 BUY Rams @ 49¢
Rams vs. Broncos
Rams vs. Broncos $5.3K
Sep 27 BUY Minnesota @ 59¢
Minnesota vs. Washington
Minnesota vs. Washington $3.0K
Sep 27 BUY Rice @ 18¢
Rice vs. Fresno State
Rice vs. Fresno State $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed