Unhealthy-Loafer-Graphic

0xa048ddf28c00037796bb9bdc4ad353cfbc31f2b5

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unhealthy-Loafer-Graphic: +$3.4K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 74% (95% range 54%–88%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$3.4K
return +4.8%
Settled bets
23
$71K staked
Won
73.9%
95% range 54%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 19 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$3.4K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$9
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 11 BUY Khachanov @ 65¢
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Khachanov (+2.5)
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Khachanov (+2.5) $4.6K
Sep 11 BUY G2 @ 61¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winner $1.9K
Sep 11 SELL New York Yankees @ 99.9¢
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees $5.7K
Sep 9 BUY Elena Rybakina @ 48¢
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina $1.1K
Sep 9 BUY G2 @ 67¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A $2.7K
Sep 8 BUY Lotte Giants @ 77¢
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. NC Dinos
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. NC Dinos $1.6K
Sep 6 BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 84¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds $2.0K
Sep 6 BUY T1 @ 71¢
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner $1.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed