Polymarket market · Esports

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Resolved: Shopify Rebellion won · See it on Polymarket ↗

24 whales put $150K into this market since Sep 18, 77% of their buying on Shopify Rebellion. Shopify Rebellion won. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$86K and 12 lost −$30K: +$56K between them.

The whales on this market

24 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Insistent-Kit
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Shopify Rebellion @ 99.6¢ $50K — +$200
Rosy-Trinket
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Shopify Rebellion @ 36¢ $23K — +$41K
Taut-Semicolon
156 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Shopify Rebellion @ 36¢ $15K — +$27K
Angry-Notebook
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $12K —
Total-Temporary
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sentinels @ 72¢ $7.9K — −$7.9K
Productive-Vertigo
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢ $5.0K — +$5
0xa0f2…1848
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sentinels @ 88¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Serene-Squid
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.2K —
Glorious-Detection
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sentinels @ 65¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Weekly-Service
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Shopify Rebellion @ 35¢ $2.9K — +$5.3K
Double-Bricklaying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Shopify Rebellion @ 29¢ $2.8K — +$6.9K
Entire-Inn
99 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sentinels @ 72¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Outgoing-Plow-Astronomy
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.7K —
Naive-Illustration-Violation
39 settled bets Worse than the odds
Sentinels @ 76¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Pointed-Ping
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sentinels @ 96¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Frilly-Appeal
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sentinels @ 93¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Annual-Donation-Land
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Shopify Rebellion @ 35¢ $1.5K — +$2.8K
Frequent-Parameter
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Shopify Rebellion @ 36¢ $1.5K — +$2.7K
Grimy-Vibrissae
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sentinels @ 65¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Staid-Cue
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sentinels @ 66¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sentinels @ 80¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Wry-Portion-Wrong
80 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Sentinels @ 72¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Thick-Mother
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —
Venerated-Duckling-Molar
91 settled bets Worse than the odds
Sentinels @ 74¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Shopify Rebellion won
    $101K
    77% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $16K sold
  2. Sentinels lost
    $30K
    23% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $3.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 18 to Sep 19, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed