Venerated-Duckling-Molar
0x65fe234bf593f1801b0e26ded7ee5401d696c200
Venerated-Duckling-Molar: +$7.8K on 91 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 37% (95% range 28%–48%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
+$7.8K
return +5.8%
Settled bets
91
$135K staked
Won
37.4%
95% range 28%–48%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 33 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$16K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$8.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $3.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 70¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $2.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 71¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $3.6K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Sentinels
@ 74¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | $1.0K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Sentinels
@ 79¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 18 | BUY NRG
@ 47¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Team WE
@ 65¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 18 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $5.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.