Polymarket market · Other
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
44 whales put $262K into this market since Aug 24, 82% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 24 whales whose whole position we captured, 16 made +$34K and 8 lost −$27K: +$6.2K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 44| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociable-Rooster
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 75¢ | $49K | — | +$17K |
| Dearest-Agenda
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 95¢ | $39K | — | +$2.1K |
| Dental-Liquid
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 93¢ | $12K | $1.6K | −$11K |
| Peppery-Capital
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $11K | — |
| Bleak-Full
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 96¢ | $5.8K | $4.8K | +$35 |
| Realistic-Building
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $9.5K | — |
| Zesty-Disappointment
17 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 55¢ | $5.7K | $2.3K | −$3.5K |
| Cheerful-Ephemera
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 98¢ | $5.7K | $1.9K | +$32 |
| Accurate-Spirit
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 95¢ | $6.8K | — | +$358 |
| Rosy-Knock-Synthesis
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 60¢ | $6.3K | — | +$4.1K |
| Determined-Valuable
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 51¢ | $6.1K | — | +$5.9K |
| Fearful-Congress
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 59¢ | $2.5K | $3.1K | — |
| Suspicious-Shoat
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 50¢ | $5.5K | — | −$5.5K |
| Second-Hand-Follower
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99¢ | $5.2K | — | +$73 |
| Helpful-Sole
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 65¢ | $3.7K | $1.4K | −$108 |
| Multicolored-Cold-Nut
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 59¢ | $1.6K | $3.5K | — |
| Sardonic-Lentil
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 63¢ | $1.1K | $3.5K | — |
| Small-Blowhole
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.5K | — |
| Sophisticated-Posterior
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.1K | — |
| Distorted-Tavern-Collector
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.9K | — |
| Key-Sovereignty
36 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 98¢ | $3.8K | — | +$77 |
| Foolish-Propane
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 66¢ | $2.1K | $1.2K | +$773 |
| Essential-Boar-Harmonize
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 96¢ | $1.9K | $1.3K | — |
| Questionable-Flame
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 96¢ | $1.3K | $1.8K | — |
| Twin-Cupola
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.9K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$151K82% of whale buying · 21 buyers · $65K sold
-
No lost$34K18% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $13K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 24 to Sep 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).