Distorted-Tavern-Collector
0xfde17cffbbbeec78f9f89d0df4d08fe7ab1a3690
Distorted-Tavern-Collector: −$101 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$101
return —
Settled bets
2
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$45
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$56
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 99.5¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $2.1K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Garland/Hsieh
@ 95¢
Set Handicap: Routliffe/Sutjiadi (-1.5) vs Garland/Hsieh (+1.5) |
Set Handicap: Routliffe/Sutjiadi (-1.5) vs Garland/Hsieh (+1.5) | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Yes
@ 99¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | $3.9K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.