Essential-Boar-Harmonize
0x8c0b637b43ccbd2069b0f789b8439777fdb4f0fb
Essential-Boar-Harmonize: +$4.1K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$4.1K
return +70.9%
Settled bets
5
$5.8K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 38%–96%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$730
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$142
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$3.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY Up
@ 33¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? |
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | $1.7K |
| Sep 15 | SELL Yes
@ 40¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | $1.0K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 91¢
Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? |
Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | $1.1K |
| Sep 7 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | $1.9K |
| Sep 7 | SELL No
@ 4¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | $1.3K |
| Aug 24 | BUY No
@ 75¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | $2.2K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.