Dry-Kimono-Blazer

0xa88d4bd31e0b1222e6af8106599095503be4a605

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dry-Kimono-Blazer: −$897 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$897
return −24.2%
Settled bets
3
$3.7K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$897
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY Under @ 81¢
Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 5.5
Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 5.5 $1.3K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 94¢
Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?
Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? $1.4K
Oct 2 BUY Yes @ 79¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03?
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? $1.0K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed