Polymarket market · Other

BYU vs. TCU

Resolved: BYU won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $72K into this market since Oct 3, 86% of their buying on BYU. BYU won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$18K and 1 lost −$4.1K: +$14K between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Snappy-Basketball
246 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $42K —
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
BYU @ 55¢ $14K — +$12K
Sparse-Outset
299 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BYU @ 59¢ $6.7K — +$4.7K
Corrupt-Poisoning
258 settled bets Beat the odds*
TCU @ 37¢ $4.1K — −$4.1K
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BYU @ 65¢ $1.8K — +$952
Scary-Fannypack
111 settled bets Beat the odds*
BYU @ 64¢ $1.2K — +$700
Helpless-Codon
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. BYU won
    $24K
    86% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $44K sold
  2. TCU lost
    $4.1K
    14% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3 to Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed