Cheap-Atrium
0xd991f59a083d4f3090393846b0ef362d5a90c161
Cheap-Atrium: −$13K on 60 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 36%–61%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$13K
return −10.4%
Settled bets
60
$124K staked
Won
48.3%
95% range 36%–61%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 30 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$15K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$770
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 99.6¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? | $15K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? | $10K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Over
@ 94¢
England vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 |
England vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 | $2.5K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Over
@ 95¢
Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5 |
Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5 | $3.6K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 92¢
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Uruguay? |
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Uruguay? | $1.4K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
SK Brann vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5 |
SK Brann vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5 | $2.2K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 |
Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 | $4.1K |
| Sep 20 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 0 Sunderland AFC? |
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 0 Sunderland AFC? | $2.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.