Accurate-Decoder
0xdacf9f8d0341fa3770fae5c7ccd9dcfed23e3c74
Accurate-Decoder: −$6.3K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 78% (95% range 58%–90%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$6.3K
return −12.6%
Settled bets
23
$50K staked
Won
78.3%
95% range 58%–90%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$4.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$2.2K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$354
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals? |
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | $1.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Kia Tigers
@ 92¢
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers |
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers | $1.2K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? |
Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? | $1.7K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will PCQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election? |
Will PCQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election? | $1.4K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? | $1.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Boston Red Sox advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? |
Will Boston Red Sox advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | $2.1K |
| Sep 30 | BUY No
@ 99.85¢
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? |
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | $1.6K |
| Sep 28 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series? |
Will Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | $2.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.