Creamy-Bridge
Skill vs luck
Creamy-Bridge on Polymarket: 11 settled bets · won 36% (95% range 15%–65%) · profit +$211. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Creamy-Bridge: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7860ddc761c01dc49336ed1cd51c4e36f9e7ab46. Data CC BY 4.0.
Creamy-Bridge: +$211 on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 36% (95% range 15%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$211
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL ex-Zero Tenacity
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. FC Energie Cottbus end in a draw? |
Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. FC Energie Cottbus end in a draw? | $1.2K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Liquid @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Liquid @ 93¢ | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-10-24? |
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-10-24? | $2.4K |
| Oct 23 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 |
Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.8K |
| Oct 23 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? |
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? | $2.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?