Grandiose-Iron

0xf0cd4c556dbd1cc5875e79ca36bf8d3c52856d22

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Grandiose-Iron: −$1.6K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.6K
return −31.1%
Settled bets
7
$5.2K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 25 – Oct 14
−$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7% (2,280 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 14 BUY Lakers @ 91¢
Warriors vs. Lakers
Warriors vs. Lakers $2.0K
Oct 13 BUY HANJIN BRION @ 87¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs $1.1K
Oct 13 BUY CyberHero @ 90¢
Dota 2: CyberHero vs Shadow Dance - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: CyberHero vs Shadow Dance - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Oct 13 SELL HULIGANI @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs $2.4K
Oct 13 SELL Zero Tenacity @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner $2.1K
Oct 13 SELL Team WE @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner $1.8K
Oct 9 BUY PARIVISION @ 95¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner $1.2K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed