Polymarket market · Other

West Virginia vs. TCU

Resolved: West Virginia won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales traded $71K on this market since Oct 24, 71% of their buying on West Virginia. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.9¢ more per share, with 88% of the size there to buy. West Virginia won, with 71% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$32K and 2 lost −$6.0K: +$26K between them. Biggest win: Shoddy-Harmonise, +$26K on West Virginia. Biggest loss: Noisy-Word, −$3.7K on TCU.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Shoddy-Harmonise
117 settled bets Can't tell from luck
West Virginia @ 61¢ $40K — +$26K
Glaring-Salt
2,044 settled bets Can't tell from luck
TCU @ 78¢ $14K — +$2.4K
Grown-Difference-Burnout
336 settled bets Can't tell from luck
TCU @ 62¢ $6.5K — +$2.5K
Noisy-Word
43 settled bets Beat the odds*
TCU @ 73¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Admirable-Loss
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
TCU @ 73¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
0xfacf…2940
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.1K —
0x6db5…e279
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
West Virginia @ 59¢ $2.0K — +$1.4K

Where the whale money went

  1. West Virginia won
    $48K
    71% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $2.1K sold
  2. TCU lost
    $20K
    30% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792911646).

About this data · run 1792911646, computed 2026-10-25 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792911646 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed