Polymarket market · Other
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
21 whales traded $82K on this market since Oct 16, 91% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 2.5¢ more per share, with 90% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
21 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attached-Pump
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 86¢ | $16K | $2.4K |
| Remarkable-Underpass
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $8.6K | — |
| Bleak-Full
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $7.4K | — |
| Damp-Accountant
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $6.4K | — |
| Bulky-Antler
11 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 11¢ | $2.4K | $2.4K |
| Weighty-Cradle
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 92¢ | $4.5K | — |
| Glaring-Inspiration
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 89¢ | $4.1K | — |
| Barren-Submitter-Analogue
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.0K |
| Married-Uniformity
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.0K |
| Altruistic-Gambling
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 94¢ | $2.8K | — |
| Smooth-Evolution
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 90¢ | $2.3K | — |
| Grounded-Depression
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 86¢ | $2.2K | — |
| Sharp-Astrakhan
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 92¢ | $2.0K | — |
| 0xbcdc…e5b1
no settled record |
Yes @ 88¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Personal-Bake
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 89¢ | $1.7K | — |
| Skinny-Class
10 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 12¢ | $1.6K | — |
| Worldly-Clam
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 88¢ | $1.5K | — |
| Shocked-Surgeon
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K |
| 0xda76…0aa2
no settled record |
No @ 11¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Cylindrical-Liar
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 93¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Immense-Patriot
11 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 10¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$63K91% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $3.6K sold
-
No$6.2K9% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $9.4K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 16 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | $51K | 15 | Open | |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5 | $52K | 3 | Won: Under | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | $72K | 19 | Open | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $404K | 62 | Open | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | $217K | 41 | Open | |
| Duke vs. Virginia | $139K | 11 | Won: Duke | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $2.62M | 131 | Open | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | $196K | 18 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?