Spotless-Niche
Skill vs luck
Spotless-Niche on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 10%–70%) · profit −$5.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 23, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Spotless-Niche: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd31dbdd92ba14cf25d5756ab04c1c07a302c4567. Data CC BY 4.0.
Spotless-Niche: −$5.8K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 23
- −$5.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY Hurricanes @ 51¢ | Hurricanes vs. Oilers ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Moyuka Uchijima @ 84¢ | Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima ↗ | $4.2K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Wizards @ 85¢ | Bucks vs. Wizards ↗ | $2.6K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Timberwolves @ 73¢ | Timberwolves vs. Heat ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 22 | SELL Atlanta Dream
@ 79¢
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream |
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream | $1.6K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Sam Houston @ 58¢ | New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston ↗ | $1.2K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?