Scholarly-Relay
Skill vs luck
Scholarly-Relay on Polymarket: 10 settled bets · won 80% (95% range 49%–94%) · profit +$41K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Scholarly-Relay: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x713d129636144ae32c089e9ef7a8f8d191ce3efc. Data CC BY 4.0.
Scholarly-Relay: +$41K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 49%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$41K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | BUY
@ 41¢
Chargers vs. Rams AND Patriots vs. Dolphins AND Eagles vs. Commanders |
Chargers vs. Rams AND Patriots vs. Dolphins AND Eagles vs. Commanders | $3.4K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Jets @ 54¢ | Raiders vs. Jets ↗ | $2.5K |
| Nov 1 | BUY
@ 25¢
Spread: Bills (-10.5) AND Spread: Browns (-3.5) AND Spread: Vikings (-3.5) AND Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) AND Spread: Raiders (-6.5) |
Spread: Bills (-10.5) AND Spread: Browns (-3.5) AND Spread: Vikings (-3.5) AND Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) AND Spread: Raiders (-6.5) | $1.4K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Steelers @ 66¢ | Browns vs. Steelers ↗ | $5.0K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Steelers @ 65¢ | Browns vs. Steelers ↗ | $12K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Steelers @ 65¢ | Browns vs. Steelers ↗ | $10K |
| Nov 1 | BUY USC @ 49¢ | Ohio State vs. USC ↗ | $4.0K |
| Nov 1 | BUY
@ 35¢
Spread: Boise State (-14.5) AND Clemson vs. Florida State |
Spread: Boise State (-14.5) AND Clemson vs. Florida State | $2.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.