Polymarket market · Other
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
8 whales traded $51K on this market since Sep 9, 91% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 5.5¢ more per share, with 81% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
8 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antique-Frame
7 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 82¢ | $11K | — |
| 0xc185…d1b8
no settled record |
No @ 66¢ | $10K | — |
| 0x89d0…5a1e
no settled record |
No @ 66¢ | $7.7K | — |
| 0x8d03…7de0
no settled record |
No @ 66¢ | $7.6K | — |
| Smoggy-Sunglasses
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 66¢ | $4.7K | — |
| Cheerful-Ephemera
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 59¢ | $4.4K | — |
| Fearful-Congress
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 40¢ | $1.0K | $1.9K |
| 0xa10b…e128
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
No$42K91% of whale buying · 6 buyers
-
Yes$4.4K10% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $4.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 9 to Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791961222).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State | $122K | 12 | Won: Jacksonville State | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $392K | 48 | Open | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $140K | 27 | Open | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | $218K | 44 | Open | |
| Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee | $79K | 13 | Won: Middle Tennessee | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | $70K | 9 | Open | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | $91K | 15 | Open | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | $155K | 41 | Open |