Polymarket market · Other

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales put $71K into this market since Oct 11, 85% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$38K and 1 lost −$3.5K: +$34K between them.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,760 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 54¢ $20K — +$12K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,639 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 69¢ $14K — −$3.5K
Dapper-Dessert-Proofreader
10 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 49¢ $12K — +$12K
Kosher-Refuse
318 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 59¢ $5.0K — +$3.5K
Mortified-Miracle-Wax
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 87¢ $2.3K $2.6K +$320
Lost-Hardboard
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 51¢ $3.1K — +$2.9K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,002 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 85¢ $1.6K — +$290
Miserable-Poison
1,080 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 19¢ $1.4K — +$6.1K
Utter-Throne
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Impure-Roundabout
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99¢ $1.3K — +$20
Perky-Equivalent
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 86¢ $1.3K — +$217
Illustrious-Pinecone
180 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 79¢ $1.3K — +$341
Flippant-Section
56 settled bets Beat the odds*
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Soggy-Junket
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Writhing-Glee
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
International-Deal
90 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 85¢ $1.0K — +$183

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $54K
    85% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $6.3K sold
  2. No lost
    $9.3K
    15% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791788420).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? $422K 44 Open
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies $81K 11 Won: India
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner $139K 37 Won: Vitality
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5 $75K 5 Won: Over
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 $230K 5 Won: Under
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw? $52K 4 Won: No
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11? $69K 19 Won: No
Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka $53K 7 Won: Pakistan
About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed