Polymarket market · Other

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales put $71K into this market since Sep 12, 50% of their buying on No. Yes won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$24K and 2 lost −$33K: −$9.0K between them.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Ragged-Aspect-Earring
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 44¢ $31K — −$31K
Flippant-Section
53 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 57¢ $15K — +$11K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 60¢ $8.7K — +$5.7K
Exemplary-Shoreline
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 57¢ $4.1K — +$3.1K
Immense-Soccer
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Zesty-Credit-Maniac
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.6K —
0xc3ed…9f79
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 50¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 57¢ $1.5K — +$1.1K
Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 57¢ $1.2K — +$924
Repentant-Dahlia
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Bewitched-Irony
19 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Intent-Candidate-Pipe
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 57¢ $1.0K — +$774
Silver-Cart-Hospitalisation
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 57¢ $1.0K — +$769

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $33K
    50% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  2. Yes won
    $33K
    50% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $6.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 12, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed