Polymarket market · Other

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-12?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales put $73K into this market since Sep 11, 96% of their buying on Yes. No won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$3.2K and 6 lost −$70K: −$67K between them.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Feisty-Mention
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 52¢ $40K — −$40K
Skinny-Brushing
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 50¢ $20K — −$20K
Pristine-Hatred
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 54¢ $5.8K — −$5.8K
0xc3ed…9f79
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 45¢ $1.5K — +$1.8K
Devoted-Oats
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 22¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 6¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Gifted-Ellipse
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 46¢ $1.2K — +$1.4K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 54¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes lost
    $70K
    96% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. No won
    $2.7K
    4% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 11 to Sep 12, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed