Intent-Candidate-Pipe
0x1f90e8becb783e981036ae76bdd226bd9d597f51
Intent-Candidate-Pipe: +$547 on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 36%–80%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$547
return +2.2%
Settled bets
15
$25K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 36%–80%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.8K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | BUY Over
@ 51¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5 |
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5 | $1.6K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 55¢
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-18? |
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-18? | $1.4K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 52¢
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? |
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18? | $2.3K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Under
@ 46¢
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5 |
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Yes
@ 52¢
Will SK Brann win on 2026-09-13? |
Will SK Brann win on 2026-09-13? | $1.7K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Yes
@ 57¢
Will Molde FK win on 2026-09-13? |
Will Molde FK win on 2026-09-13? | $2.1K |
| Sep 13 | BUY No
@ 49¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? |
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | $3.3K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5 |
Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5 | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.