Polymarket market · Other

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales traded $113K on this market since Oct 29, 87% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 81 seconds later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 87% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$31K and 2 lost −$14K: +$17K between them. Biggest win: Realistic-Chive-Tenet, +$27K on Yes. Biggest loss: Spiffy-Revenue, −$9.8K on No.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,348 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.46¢ $53K — +$290
Realistic-Chive-Tenet
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 57¢ $35K — +$27K
Spiffy-Revenue
115 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 42¢ $9.8K — −$9.8K
Valid-Underground
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 58¢ $5.0K — +$3.6K
Heavenly-Numismatist
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 43¢ $4.3K — −$4.3K
Silky-Subroutine
313 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 79¢ $1.6K — +$418
Dear-Blackboard
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,326 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Cultivated-Communist
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 79¢ $1.1K — +$299

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $96K
    87% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $2.7K sold
  2. No lost
    $9.8K
    9% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. No lost
    $4.3K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 29 to Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793343609).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
About this data · run 1793343609, computed 2026-10-30 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793343609 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed