Polymarket market · Other
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
6 whales traded $84K on this market since Oct 27, 57% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.6¢ more per share, with 97% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 57% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$61K and 4 lost −$34K: +$26K between them. Biggest win: Realistic-Chive-Tenet, +$55K on Yes. Biggest loss: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, −$30K on No.
The whales on this market
6 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Realistic-Chive-Tenet
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 41¢ | $38K | — | +$55K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,348 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 59¢ | $37K | — | −$30K |
| Valid-Underground
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 42¢ | $4.4K | — | +$6.1K |
| Teeming-Ritual
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 66¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Thrifty-Dragonfruit
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 60¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Extraneous-Transom
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 61¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$47K57% of whale buying · 3 buyers
-
No lost$36K43% of whale buying · 4 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 27 to Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793343609).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | $97K | 26 | Open | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $448K | 69 | Open | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | $116K | 33 | Open | |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29? | $113K | 9 | Won: Yes | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $735K | 69 | Open | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | $90K | 22 | Open | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | $169K | 49 | Open | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | $87K | 17 | Open |