Polymarket market · Other
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
14 whales traded $55K on this market since Oct 16, 100% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
14 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Personal-Bake
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 85¢ | $7.8K | $1.4K |
| 0x0d15…c454
no settled record |
Yes @ 88¢ | $8.8K | — |
| Glaring-Inspiration
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 88¢ | $1.6K | $4.2K |
| Valid-Underground
14 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 78¢ | $2.5K | $3.2K |
| Clueless-Dugout-Tomtom
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 86¢ | $4.3K | — |
| White-Loincloth
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 88¢ | $3.4K | — |
| Smooth-Evolution
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.2K |
| Wordy-Duel
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 88¢ | $3.1K | — |
| Limp-Drawer
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K |
| Grounded-Depression
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 83¢ | $2.3K | — |
| Weighty-Cradle
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 85¢ | $2.2K | — |
| 0xbcfe…ee58
no settled record |
Yes @ 91¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Giving-Petticoat
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 81¢ | $1.5K | — |
| 0xff7c…b233
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 89¢ | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$41K100% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $14K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 16 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $413K | 62 | Open | |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | $65K | 8 | Open | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | $123K | 21 | Open | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | $289K | 24 | Open | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | $274K | 47 | Open | |
| Houston vs. Utah | $125K | 17 | Won: Utah | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $151K | 41 | Open | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $588K | 66 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?