Polymarket market · Crypto

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 20?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

15 whales put $83K into this market since Aug 20, 97% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$796 and 2 lost −$632: +$164 between them.

The whales on this market

15 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Happy-Default
115 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 96¢ $33K — −$596
Odd-Cannon
97 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.6¢ $11K — +$44
Ill-Fated-Paintwork
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $6.0K — +$61
Flamboyant-Uniform
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 90¢ $5.0K — +$561
Plaintive-Terrapin
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.9¢ $4.2K — +$4
Potable-Appropriation
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.7¢ $3.8K — +$11
Jolly-Chin
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.5¢ $1.9K $1.9K +$2
Jaded-Display
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $2.0K $1.7K −$36
Rectangular-Chatter
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.6K —
Ambitious-Cicada
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 97¢ $2.3K — +$67
Tender-Likelihood
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.8¢ $1.8K — +$4
Alarming-Cufflink
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 98¢ $1.3K — +$29
Faint-Landing
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Rash-Tanktop
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.9¢ $1.1K — +$1
Selfish-Handful
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $1.0K — +$12

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $73K
    97% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $8.3K sold
  2. No lost
    $1.9K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More crypto markets the whales bet on

All Crypto →
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed