Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

15 whales put $63K into this market since Aug 21, 85% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$15K and 2 lost −$3.1K: +$12K between them.

The whales on this market

15 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0xf705…3ca7
148 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 78¢ $3.3K $6.3K —
Impressive-Steak
392 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 71¢ $9.6K — +$3.9K
Frequent-Cornmeal
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 80¢ $8.3K — +$2.1K
Worn-Tanker
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 59¢ $7.4K — +$5.2K
Curvy-Offramp
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.4K —
Apprehensive-Breakdown
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 42¢ $6.1K — −$41
Rewarding-Brownie
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 42¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Testy-Surgeon
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 60¢ $2.1K — +$1.4K
Excitable-Accelerant
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 67¢ $2.0K — +$978
Narrow-Peninsula
10 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 75¢ $2.0K — +$675
Relieved-Enemy
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Old-Mass
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Agile-Chatter
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 60¢ $1.3K — +$847
Tiny-Mango
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
0xfd8e…bb98
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $38K
    85% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $15K sold
  2. No lost
    $6.9K
    15% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $2.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 21 to Aug 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed