Flamboyant-Uniform

0x388537259dc9e693c1c9b96fdf07a63f6b7aca77

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Flamboyant-Uniform: +$9.0K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 92% (95% range 65%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$9.0K
return +17.2%
Settled bets
12
$52K staked
Won
91.7%
95% range 65%–99%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$4.9K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$775
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$3.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY Down @ 54¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10?
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10? $3.9K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 94¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2? $3.8K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 72¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6? $5.1K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 81¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2? $5.8K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 73¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5? $5.2K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 81¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2? $5.7K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 95¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? $4.8K
Sep 27 BUY Yes @ 87¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30? $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed