Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $50K into this market since Aug 20, 97% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$10K and 1 lost −$100: +$10K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Woeful-Brownie-Snap
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.79¢ $24K — +$52
Solid-Minister
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 60¢ $9.8K — +$6.5K
Worn-Tanker
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 73¢ $5.3K — −$100
Taut-Ease-Bloodflow
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 50¢ $3.2K — +$3.2K
Ignorant-Front
52 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $2.6K —
0xf705…3ca7
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Spanish-Chapter
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Adventurous-Quote
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Impressive-Steak
399 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 78¢ $1.1K — +$300

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $42K
    97% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $4.1K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $1.5K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. No lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $2.6K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Aug 21, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed