Jolly-Chin
0x73a058a9973a0209dbeb94bddfc92f88c8579342
Jolly-Chin: +$286 on 30 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 70% (95% range 52%–83%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$286
return +0.6%
Settled bets
30
$46K staked
Won
70.0%
95% range 52%–83%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$43
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$107
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$135
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 99.35¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10? | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10? | $2.7K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Yes
@ 99.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | $1.7K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 99.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | $1.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 99.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6? | $3.4K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Yes
@ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4? | $2.0K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Yes
@ 99.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4? | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 99.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4? | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.