Plaintive-Terrapin

0xf5dd7fdf7253679207ae7da3bd9b371798baa04e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Plaintive-Terrapin: +$27 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 57%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$27
return +0.2%
Settled bets
5
$16K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 57%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$27
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 4 BUY Yes @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4? $1.6K
Aug 31 BUY Yes @ 99.89¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31? $5.0K
Aug 27 BUY Yes @ 99.49¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? $2.0K
Aug 21 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 21?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 21? $3.0K
Aug 20 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 20?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 20? $4.2K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed