Selfish-Handful

0xec41cd8e09f579c74e0bbe93f512ee182fd6443b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Selfish-Handful: +$26 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 70%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$26
return +0.3%
Settled bets
9
$9.2K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 70%–100%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$12
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$11
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$3
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 12 BUY No @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? $1.1K
Sep 30 BUY No @ 99.7¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 30?
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 30? $1.1K
Sep 20 BUY Yes @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 20?
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 20? $1.0K
Sep 18 BUY Yes @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? $1.0K
Sep 17 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17?
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17? $1.0K
Sep 13 BUY Yes @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 13?
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 13? $1.0K
Sep 10 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 10?
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 10? $1.0K
Sep 8 BUY Yes @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 8?
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 8? $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed