Polymarket market · Sports
Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin
Resolved: Elias Ymer won · See it on Polymarket ↗
20 whales put $103K into this market since Sep 14, 55% of their buying on Semen Pankin. Elias Ymer won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$7.7K and 8 lost −$16K: −$8.2K between them.
The whales on this market
20 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euphoric-Table
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Elias Ymer @ 54¢ | $6.3K | $20K | — |
| Nutty-Schnitzel
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Semen Pankin @ 20¢ | $22K | — | +$5.2K |
| Well-Lit-Cleric
11 settled bets Too few bets |
Elias Ymer @ 43¢ | $3.1K | $14K | — |
| Tinted-Text
159 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Semen Pankin @ 52¢ | $2.6K | $1.4K | — |
| Long-Term-Index-Replication
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.7K | — |
| Lopsided-Overexertion
22 settled bets Too few bets |
Semen Pankin @ 48¢ | $3.1K | — | −$3.1K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Elias Ymer @ 91¢ | $2.8K | — | −$1.2K |
| Welcome-Revenue
210 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Semen Pankin @ 52¢ | $2.6K | — | −$2.6K |
| Humongous-Bun
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Slow-Escape
321 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Semen Pankin @ 52¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Noted-Authentication
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Semen Pankin @ 61¢ | $2.1K | — | −$2.1K |
| Flawed-Infinite
188 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Elias Ymer @ 54¢ | $2.0K | — | +$1.7K |
| Separate-Evidence
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Elias Ymer @ 70¢ | $2.0K | — | +$857 |
| Harmless-Region
153 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Semen Pankin @ 68¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Honorable-Hardhat
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Anxious-Recreation
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Semen Pankin @ 60¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Cumbersome-Dock-Shield
57 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Semen Pankin @ 67¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Weepy-Eve
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Timely-Snake
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Semen Pankin lost$31K55% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $1.5K sold
-
Elias Ymer won$25K45% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $46K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).